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Fastest Growing & Declining Jobs in 2026

BLS Employment Projections 2024-2034 · Updated Apr 3, 2025

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes 10-year occupational projections every two years. Below are the 25 fastest-growing and 25 fastest-declining occupations in the United States between 2024 and 2034, ranked both by percent change and by absolute job count. Click any role for detailed wage percentiles, regional adjustments, and JOLTS market context.

Growing Occupations

Roles where BLS projects the largest employment gains between 2024 and 2034.

Top 25 Fastest Growing Occupations

Ranked by percent change 2024-2034
#OccupationWorkforceBy 2034ChangeMedian Pay
1Wind turbine service technicians
SOC 49-9081
14K21K+49.9%$63K
2Solar photovoltaic installers
SOC 47-2231
29K41K+42.1%$52K
3Nurse practitioners
SOC 29-1171
320K449K+40.1%$129K
4Data scientists
SOC 15-2051
246K328K+33.5%$113K
5Information security analysts
SOC 15-1212
183K235K+28.5%$125K
6Medical and health services managers
SOC 11-9111
616K759K+23.2%$118K
7Physical therapist assistants
SOC 31-2021
112K136K+22.0%$66K
8Actuaries
SOC 15-2011
34K41K+21.8%$126K
9Operations research analysts
SOC 15-2031
112K136K+21.5%$91K
10Physician assistants
SOC 29-1071
163K196K+20.4%$133K
11Psychiatric technicians
SOC 29-2053
145K173K+20.0%$43K
12Ophthalmic medical technicians
SOC 29-2057
79K94K+19.8%$44K
13Computer and information research scientists
SOC 15-1221
40K48K+19.7%$141K
14Occupational therapy assistants
SOC 31-2011
49K59K+19.2%$68K
15Financial examiners
SOC 13-2061
65K77K+18.5%$90K
16Hearing aid specialists
SOC 29-2092
11K13K+18.4%$62K
17Health specialties teachers, postsecondary
SOC 25-1071
290K340K+17.3%$106K
18Home health and personal care aides
SOC 31-1120
4.3M5.1M+17.0%$35K
19Nursing instructors and teachers, postsecondary
SOC 25-1072
92K107K+16.8%$80K
20Substance abuse, behavioral disorder, and mental health counselors
SOC 21-1018
484K565K+16.8%$59K
21Logisticians
SOC 13-1081
241K281K+16.7%$81K
22Epidemiologists
SOC 19-1041
12K14K+16.2%$84K
23Industrial machinery mechanics
SOC 49-9041
440K510K+16.1%$64K
24Software developers
SOC 15-1252
1.7M2.0M+15.8%$133K
25Massage therapists
SOC 31-9011
168K194K+15.4%$58K

Top 25 Occupations With the Most Job Growth

Ranked by absolute jobs added 2024-2034
#OccupationWorkforceBy 2034ChangeMedian Pay
1Home health and personal care aides
SOC 31-1120
4.3M5.1M+17.0%$35K
2Software developers
SOC 15-1252
1.7M2.0M+15.8%$133K
3Stockers and order fillers
SOC 53-7065
2.8M3.0M+8.5%$37K
4Fast food and counter workers
SOC 35-3023
3.8M4.0M+6.1%$30K
5Cooks, restaurant
SOC 35-2014
1.5M1.7M+14.9%$37K
6Registered nurses
SOC 29-1141
3.4M3.6M+4.9%$94K
7General and operations managers
SOC 11-1021
3.7M3.9M+4.4%$103K
8Medical and health services managers
SOC 11-9111
616K759K+23.2%$118K
9Financial managers
SOC 11-3031
869K997K+14.8%$162K
10Nurse practitioners
SOC 29-1171
320K449K+40.1%$129K
11Construction laborers
SOC 47-2061
1.5M1.6M+7.3%$47K
12Computer and information systems managers
SOC 11-3021
667K769K+15.2%$171K
13Medical assistants
SOC 31-9092
811K912K+12.5%$44K
14Management analysts
SOC 13-1111
1.1M1.2M+8.8%$101K
15Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers
SOC 53-3032
2.2M2.3M+4.0%$57K
16Data scientists
SOC 15-2051
246K328K+33.5%$113K
17Substance abuse, behavioral disorder, and mental health counselors
SOC 21-1018
484K565K+16.8%$59K
18Light truck drivers
SOC 53-3033
1.1M1.2M+7.3%$44K
19Electricians
SOC 47-2111
819K896K+9.5%$62K
20First-line supervisors of food preparation and serving workers
SOC 35-1012
1.2M1.3M+6.0%$42K
21Accountants and auditors
SOC 13-2011
1.6M1.7M+4.6%$82K
22Industrial machinery mechanics
SOC 49-9041
440K510K+16.1%$64K
23Market research analysts and marketing specialists
SOC 13-1161
942K1.0M+6.7%$77K
24Maintenance and repair workers, general
SOC 49-9071
1.6M1.7M+3.8%$49K
25Managers, all other
SOC 11-9199
1.3M1.4M+4.5%$137K

Declining Occupations

Roles where BLS projects the largest employment losses between 2024 and 2034. Useful signal for workforce re-skilling and comp-budget allocation away from contracting categories.

Top 25 Fastest Declining Occupations

Ranked by percent change 2024-2034
#OccupationWorkforceBy 2034ChangeMedian Pay
1Word processors and typists
SOC 43-9022
40K26K-36.1%$48K
2Roof bolters, mining
SOC 47-5043
2K2K-34.2%$77K
3Telephone operators
SOC 43-2021
4K3K-27.5%$39K
4Switchboard operators, including answering service
SOC 43-2011
37K27K-26.3%$38K
5Data entry keyers
SOC 43-9021
142K105K-25.9%$40K
6Foundry mold and coremakers
SOC 51-4071
13K9K-25.9%$46K
7Patternmakers, metal and plastic
SOC 51-4062
2K1K-24.4%$55K
8Loading and moving machine operators, underground mining
SOC 47-5044
6K5K-22.3%$69K
9Telemarketers
SOC 41-9041
67K53K-22.1%$34K
10Grinding and polishing workers, hand
SOC 51-9022
12K9K-21.2%$42K
11Engine and other machine assemblers
SOC 51-2031
38K30K-21.1%$53K
12Drilling and boring machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic
SOC 51-4032
5K4K-19.6%$47K
13Forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic
SOC 51-4022
9K7K-18.9%$49K
14Model makers, metal and plastic
SOC 51-4061
3K3K-18.2%$63K
15Cutters and trimmers, hand
SOC 51-9031
7K6K-18.1%$39K
16Timing device assemblers and adjusters
SOC 51-2061
200200-17.5%$41K
17Order clerks
SOC 43-4151
90K74K-17.2%$45K
18Refractory materials repairers, except brickmasons
SOC 49-9045
1K900-16.9%$59K
19Payroll and timekeeping clerks
SOC 43-3051
161K134K-16.7%$55K
20Structural metal fabricators and fitters
SOC 51-2041
54K45K-16.3%$50K
21Print binding and finishing workers
SOC 51-5113
36K30K-16.1%$40K
22File clerks
SOC 43-4071
84K71K-15.9%$41K
23Nuclear power reactor operators
SOC 51-8011
6K5K-15.3%$123K
24Office machine operators, except computer
SOC 43-9071
26K22K-15.2%$39K
25Camera and photographic equipment repairers
SOC 49-9061
2K2K-15.1%$49K

Top 25 Occupations With the Largest Job Declines

Ranked by absolute jobs lost 2024-2034
#OccupationWorkforceBy 2034ChangeMedian Pay
1Cashiers
SOC 41-2011
3.2M2.8M-9.9%$31K
2Office clerks, general
SOC 43-9061
2.6M2.5M-6.7%$44K
3Customer service representatives
SOC 43-4051
2.8M2.7M-5.5%$43K
4Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks
SOC 43-3031
1.6M1.5M-5.8%$49K
5Cooks, fast food
SOC 35-2011
670K579K-13.5%$30K
6First-line supervisors of retail sales workers
SOC 41-1011
1.4M1.4M-5.0%$47K
7Shipping, receiving, and inventory clerks
SOC 43-5071
862K796K-7.7%$43K
8Tellers
SOC 43-3071
347K303K-12.9%$39K
9Data entry keyers
SOC 43-9021
142K105K-25.9%$40K
10Packers and packagers, hand
SOC 53-7064
592K560K-5.4%$36K
11Food preparation workers
SOC 35-2021
903K872K-3.4%$34K
12Secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive
SOC 43-6014
1.9M1.9M-1.6%$46K
13Correctional officers and jailers
SOC 33-3012
388K357K-7.8%$58K
14Childcare workers
SOC 39-9011
992K962K-2.9%$32K
15Elementary school teachers, except special education
SOC 25-2021
1.4M1.4M-2.0%$62K
16Payroll and timekeeping clerks
SOC 43-3051
161K134K-16.7%$55K
17Computer user support specialists
SOC 15-1232
730K703K-3.7%$60K
18Cutting, punching, and press machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic
SOC 51-4031
175K154K-12.1%$46K
19Teaching assistants, except postsecondary
SOC 25-9045
1.4M1.4M-1.5%$35K
20Retail salespersons
SOC 41-2031
3.9M3.9M-0.5%$35K
21Interviewers, except eligibility and loan
SOC 43-4111
164K145K-11.6%$44K
22Computer numerically controlled tool operators
SOC 51-9161
177K158K-10.7%$50K
23Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators
SOC 13-1031
356K338K-5.1%$77K
24Office and administrative support workers, all other
SOC 43-9199
233K215K-7.8%$46K
25Secondary school teachers, except special and career/technical education
SOC 25-2031
1.1M1.1M-1.6%$65K

About This Data

Rankings are sourced from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections program, 2024-2034 release. The BLS publishes 10-year occupational projections every two years based on economic, demographic, and labor-supply modeling.

Percent-change rankings (Tables 1.3 and 1.5) favor smaller, faster-moving occupations. Absolute-change rankings (Tables 1.4 and 1.6) favor large established occupations even when their percent change is modest. Both views matter for workforce planning.

Next release: ~2027 (for 2025-2035 outlook)Verify on BLS.gov →

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CompSignal is a free labor market intelligence tool built for HR, compensation, and talent acquisition teams. We make BLS data, the same primary source Mercer and Radford cross-reference in their paid surveys, searchable and actionable without an enterprise subscription.

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